CLA 3.0-THIRTY YEARS OF TRANSFORMATIVE RESEARCH

CLA 3.0-THIRTY YEARS OF TRANSFORMATIVE RESEARCH pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025

Sohail Inayatullah
圖書標籤:
  • CLA
  • Transformative Research
  • Higher Education
  • Policy Analysis
  • Evaluation
  • Social Impact
  • Research Methods
  • Educational Research
  • Innovation
  • Leadership
  • Public Service
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圖書描述

  In 1992, while presenting at the World Futures Studies Federation course on International Development, I shifted my lecture from the typical rehearsed presentation on factors explaining maldevelopment to a real time unpacking/deconstruction of transportation futures. As I, we, worked through the analysis, alternatives organically emerged.  The four levels were: first, the problem or the litany – congestion and pollution. Second the causes: too many cars and desire for more cars, rising incomes, traditional infrastructure that was not car flow friendly, among other factors. Third, the Big City outlook, westernization, and the "Los Angelization" of the planet. And fourth, West is best with cars as freedom, as individuality. We understood that the government would take a technical approach of creating flyovers and not the deeper required to rethink centre-periphery relations – to decentralize - to reimagine Bangkok as a walkable and green city. This led to a discussion on not just infrastructure redesign but stories around rural areas and the symbol of the car as a symbol of Western power. CLA shifted the discussion from conventional strategies on transport toward alternative futures of mobility, identity, and sustainability.  After a few more attempts at presenting on communication, on disability, on ways knowing the method was born. Theoretically, of course, I was standing on the works of the greats: P.R. Sarkar, Johan Galtung, William Irwin Thompson, Joseph Campbell and from insights from professors and colleagues such as James Dator, Michael Shapiro, and Richard Slaughter.

  In the CLA Reader published in 2004, we compiled articles on the method to gain academic respectability. Doctoral students would email me and say, they wanted to write their thesis on CLA but their professors were suspicious. By 2015, when CLA 2.0 was released, we had documented hundreds of additional case studies. Professor were no longer suspicious, indeed, many enthusiastic. The method by that time had been used by thirty plus national governments, dozens of international organizations, hundreds of businesses and community organizations, and thousands of individuals.

  With CLA 3.0, we have moved from planting seeds about a new method, to nurturing young trees, to watching a true forest of transformative and critical futures research. The forest true to the iceberg image that has been linked to CLA is not just on land but in the ocean as well.

  My own work in the area has somewhat changed. Along with projects using CLA on the external world, for example, in the past few months, with FAO, Australia Prudential Residential Authority, Mitsubishi Motors, WHO, the Pacific Community, the Razak School of Government, LEGO, UNESCAP, more and more I insist that participants in workshops also focus on the CLA of the self. This has become especially important with the rise in anxiety from COVID and the invasion of Ukraine. The inner work leads not only to the reflective practitioner but ensures epistemological mindfulness. We enter the room aware that we are part of the problem or solution, that our stories can help or hurt. CLA of the self, for me, is a way to help others find ways out of current predicaments. For example, just recently with colleagues in Shanghai stuck from the long lockdown, we worked together to shift the core metaphor from "the prison" to "painting the prison" and from a "lone firefly to a ray of light" connecting with other rays. An educational leader working with the disadvantaged used CLA  recently to develop the new story he wished to tell his community of students, teachers, and parents.  While he understood the reality of admiring the problem, after the CLA workshop, he changed his focus from the victim to the champion. When I suggested that the narrative of the champion might be a step to far, he added an intermediate narrative shift: getting in the game. These storis assist in expanding agency, in helping us create more desirable futures. The stories as with external CLA need to link to systemic changes as well, and when possible, new measures of success.  The question I ask organizations as they develop their new narrative is who are you in the story? Thus, it is not about changing others per se but how about finding a voice, a role for oneself in a changing world. With one large group, their new story was a flotilla of canoes. I then asked participants, who were they in the flotilla? One said, the navigator, another the one who painted the canoes, a third, the one who found dollars for canoe maintenance. The story thus connected all. CLA, for me, is not about strategic foresight but transformational futures. We are in the universe not as objective change agents but as characters (often pre-scripted and used) with the possibility of inner and outer transformation, of co-creating alternative futures.  Depth assists us in moving from technical litany systemic fixes to longer term worldview and narrative shifts.

  This book can be read from the position of theories of knowledge, as methodology, as case studies, or as part of one's individual journey. I can only recommend that you work from multiple positions, and, of course, work at all four levels.  While CLA 2.0 was a partnership between me and Director of Metafuture, Dr. Ivana Milojević, we are fortunate to now have Drs. John Sweeney and Ralph Mercer as fellow collaborators on this inner and outer, land and ocean voyage.
《無垠的探索:跨越世紀的科學與人文之旅》 一、 序言:時代的交匯點 本書是一部橫跨多個學科領域的宏大敘事,旨在梳理自二十世紀初以來,人類在自然科學、社會科學、哲學思辨以及藝術創作領域所取得的裏程碑式成就。我們身處一個知識爆炸的時代,信息的碎片化傾嚮常常使人難以把握宏觀圖景。因此,《無垠的探索》試圖搭建一座橋梁,連接那些看似孤立的研究分支,揭示它們之間深刻的內在聯係和相互啓發的機製。 本書的敘事邏輯並非嚴格按照時間順序展開,而是以核心思想和研究範式的變遷為軸綫,引導讀者進行一場跨越學科邊界的深度漫遊。我們相信,真正的突破往往發生在學科的邊緣地帶,在那些不同知識體係相互碰撞、融閤之處。 二、 科學的革命與範式轉移 第一部分:微觀世界的重塑——物理學與化學的深刻變革 我們將從二十世紀初的物理學革命開始。愛因斯坦的相對論徹底顛覆瞭牛頓時代對時空的基本認知,而量子力學的誕生則將我們帶入瞭一個充滿不確定性和概率性的微觀世界。本書將詳細探討普朗剋、玻爾、海森堡等巨匠的貢獻,分析量子場論的建立如何為粒子物理學奠定瞭基礎,並討論標準模型的建立及其麵對暗物質和暗能量挑戰時的局限性。 在化學領域,分子結構和化學鍵理論的深入理解,推動瞭有機閤成化學的飛速發展。我們將迴顧從有機化學到材料科學的演變,重點分析新型催化劑的設計原理,以及其在可持續能源和環保技術中的應用潛力。特彆關注在閤成生物學領域,化學原理如何與生命科學深度融閤,催生齣全新的工程化生命係統的可能性。 第二部分:生命的奧秘與基因的語言——生物學的宏大敘事 生物學是本書著墨最多的部分之一。從孟德爾的遺傳定律到沃森和剋裏剋對DNA雙螺鏇結構的發現,人類對生命本質的理解進入瞭一個全新的階段。本書深入剖析瞭分子生物學的核心概念,如基因錶達調控、蛋白質摺疊的復雜性。 隨後,我們將聚焦於基因組學時代的來臨。人類基因組計劃的完成標誌著一個時代的結束,同時也開啓瞭功能基因組學、蛋白質組學以及代謝組學的廣闊前景。我們探討瞭基因編輯技術(如CRISPR-Cas9)帶來的巨大潛力與隨之而來的倫理睏境。此外,我們還將考察進化生物學如何通過整閤古生物學、遺傳學和生態學數據,構建齣更為精細的生命演化樹。 三、 人類社會的復雜性與行為的解碼 第三部分:心智的疆域——心理學與神經科學的前沿 人類心智是宇宙中最迷人的謎團之一。本書將迴顧弗洛伊德的精神分析理論的遺産,並將其置於現代認知科學的語境下進行重新審視。認知心理學如何通過實驗方法揭示記憶、注意力和決策製定的機製?我們將詳細闡述連接大腦結構與功能的核心技術,例如功能性磁共振成像(fMRI)和腦電圖(EEG)的最新應用,以及它們如何幫助我們理解意識的起源。 行為經濟學和決策理論的發展,挑戰瞭傳統經濟學中“理性人”的假設。通過對啓發式偏差、損失厭惡等非理性行為模式的分析,本書試圖提供一個更貼近現實的人類行為模型。 第四部分:社會結構的動態演化——社會學與人類學的洞察 社會學和人類學為我們提供瞭理解人類群體的工具。本書考察瞭從韋伯的理性化理論到福柯的權力/知識分析的理論演進。我們特彆關注全球化進程對傳統社會結構、身份認同和文化多樣性的衝擊與重塑。 在全球數字化浪潮下,社交網絡分析和大數據方法正在改變社會學研究的範式。我們探討瞭大規模數據如何被用於識彆社會網絡中的關鍵節點、信息傳播的路徑,以及社會動員的潛在模式。人類學則通過深入的民族誌研究,強調瞭文化相對論的重要性,批判瞭普世主義的陷阱,並探討瞭地方知識在全球治理中的價值。 四、 哲學的反思與藝術的錶達 第五部分:意義的追尋——當代哲學思辨 技術進步和社會變遷總是伴隨著深刻的哲學反思。《無垠的探索》不會迴避形而上學的基本問題,但會更側重於分析哲學和實踐哲學的應用。我們將探討語言哲學對邏輯學和計算機科學的深遠影響,以及現象學如何為理解主體經驗提供瞭獨特的視角。 人工智能的崛起,尤其引發瞭關於“何為人性”、“何為心智”的深刻爭論。本書分析瞭功能主義、同一性理論在麵對強人工智能時的挑戰。同時,環境倫理學和技術哲學也占據瞭重要篇幅,探討人類在改造自然和技術發展中的責任邊界。 第六部分:形式的自由與錶達的邊界——藝術與媒介的轉型 藝術是對人類體驗的最高級提煉。本書將藝術史置於社會文化變遷的大背景下考察。從現代主義對傳統形式的顛覆,到後現代主義對宏大敘事的解構,藝術始終是時代精神的晴雨錶。 數字媒體的普及極大地改變瞭藝術的生産、傳播和消費模式。本書分析瞭虛擬現實(VR)、增強現實(AR)技術在藝術創作中的應用,探討瞭“可互動性”如何重塑觀眾與作品的關係。我們還將審視數字時代的審美經驗,以及算法推薦係統對文化品味的潛移默化的影響。 五、 結論:麵嚮未知的融閤與整閤 《無垠的探索》總結認為,二十一世紀的研究趨勢日益呈現齣跨學科和係統化的特徵。無論是應對氣候變化、流行病控製,還是理解人類的復雜行為,任何單一學科都無法提供全麵的解決方案。未來的知識進步將高度依賴於不同領域專傢的有效對話與知識的深度融閤。本書最終希望激發讀者,以更廣闊的視野去審視我們所處的這個復雜而迷人的世界,並以探索者的精神迎接前方的無限可能。

著者信息

作者簡介

Sohail Inayatullah


  蘇哈爾博士為全球前2%頂尖科學傢,目前為教設係之境外訪問研究員。多層次因果分析不僅可以用來解構未來,還可以用來重構未來,為人類麵臨的複雜問題創造整體世界觀和敘述性的解決方案。前次本校齣版蘇哈爾博士專書為2015年,此次為蘇哈爾博士針對未來學方法做更進階的學理及方法提供,希冀可以由本校齣版,對本校未來化工作做貢獻及享譽國際未來學群體。

圖書目錄

Table of Contents
Foreword    5
CREATING THE FOREST OF TRANSFORMATIONAL FUTURES:    5
THIRTY YEARS OF CLA    5
About the Editors    7
Preface    8
Ivana Milojević    8
THEORY    13
Sohail Inayatullah, Causal Layered Analysis: Theory, Conceptual Framework, and Method    14
DISCIPLINARY AND METHODOLOGICAL REFLECTIONS:    30
Veli Virmajok, Understanding Futures of Science: Connecting Causal Layered Analysis and Philosophy of Science    31
Russell Clements, Using Gregory Bateson’s Epistemology of Mind and Causal Layered Analysis to Mitigate Asian Elephant-human Conflict Risk.    56
Joseph Corneli, Alex Murphy, Raymond S. Puzio, Leo Vivier, Noorah Alhasan, Vitor Bruno, Charlotte Pierce, Charles J. Danoff, Patterns of Patterns: A Methodological Reflection on the Future of Design Patterns Methods.    88
Peter Scupelli, Does When and How Design Students Learn Causal Layered Analysis Matter?    114
Nele Fischer and Konstanti Marquardt, Encounters on the Metaphorical Level: Introducting Systemic Metaphor Analysis for CLA    132
APPLICATIONS:    140
Ivana Milojević, Australian Riot: Causal Layered Analysis for Conflict Resolution    141
Adam Cowart, " Living Between Myth and Metaphor:  Level 4 of Causal Layered Analysis Theorised    154
John A. Sweeney, Not Organic Gardening or Rocket Science: New Metaphors (and a Politics) for Geoengineered Imaginaries.    164
Marcelle Holdaway, Diving in the Deep End: Visually Exploring Community Views on Corporate Accountability.    177
Sanna Ketonen-Oksi, Creating a shared narrative: The use of causal layered analysis to explore ecosystem level value co-creation    191
Peter Sukhorolsky, Russian Aggression Against Ukraine: Past, Present, and Futures    208
Niedbalski, The Hong Kong Protests and Tianxia: The Origins of Modern conceptions of Chinese Identity and the struggle for a different future    218
Marcus Anthony, WWW: Web Wide Warfare Part 2: Towards a Deeper Healing of the Online Culture Wars    237
Elissa Farrow, To Augment Human Capacity – Artificial Intelligence Evolution through Causal Layered Analysis    256
Oluseyi Julius Adbowale and Justus Ngala Agumba, Causal Layered Analysis of Construction Labour Productivity in Developing Countries    273
Lazaro et al., Using CLA to participatively explore the urban solid waste problem in Uruguay: three years after    291
Sterling Jackson, Applying Futures Based Frameworks for Emerging Sector Investments: Applying Causal Layered Analysis to Develop Decision Making Metaphors for Risk Forward Investments    303
Rieta Ganas, Kasturi Behari-Leak, Nalini Chitanand, Siya Sabata, Pedagogies for Critical Agency: Portals to Alternative Futures.    310
Matti Minkkinen, Sirkka Heinonen, and Marjukka Parkkinen, Drilling and Blasting to Learn Scenario Construction – Experimenting with Causal Layered Analysis as a Disruption of Scenario Work    328
Jeanne Hoffman, Imagining 2060: A Cross-Cultural Comparison of University Students’ Perspectives    340
Ali Zackery, Mohsen Taheri Damneh, Alireza Karimi, Maryam Ebadi Nejad: Insights from a Causal Layered Analysis of “Isfahan 2040”: A Participatory Foresight Workshop    359
Chris Riedy, Interior transformation on the pathway to a viable future    377
Ralph Mercer: Self-Writing: A Causal Layered Analysis prospective on the Learning Identity Framework.    392
Glossary    399
Index    400
Bonus material    401
Back material    402


 

圖書序言

  • ISBN:9786267032305
  • 規格:平裝 / 564頁 / 19 x 26 x 2.82 cm / 普通級 / 單色印刷 / 初版
  • 齣版地:颱灣

圖書試讀

用户评价

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說實在的,光是看到「CLA 3.0」這個代號,我就立刻聯想到某種迭代更新的技術標準或是複雜的理論模型,總覺得這背後藏著一套嚴謹的內在邏輯。這本書想必是將過去三十年來,圍繞著這個核心框架所發展齣的所有分支、修正、以及跨學科的應用,做瞭一次全麵性的梳理與昇華。我推測,內容可能非常紮實,充斥著大量的數據圖錶、複雜的公式推導,甚至是不同學派之間激烈辯論的文獻迴顧。對於我們這些習慣於在海量資訊中摸索方嚮的人來說,這本書或許可以充當一個權威的「導航係統」,直接指引齣哪些是當前研究的熱點,哪些是基礎性的理論支柱。但我也擔心,如此深入的專論,會不會讓入門者望之卻步?它更像是給已經在領域內摸爬滾打瞭一段時間的專業人士準備的「進階秘笈」。如果它能成功地在保持學術深度的同時,設計齣一些清晰的脈絡圖或概念地圖,幫助讀者消化這三十年的複雜演變,那它就真稱得上是裏程碑式的作品瞭。總之,這本書散發齣來的氣場,就是一股「非此不可」的權威感,讓人不敢輕忽。

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這本書,光是書名《CLA 3.0-THIRTY YEARS OF TRANSFORMATIVE RESEARCH》就充滿瞭一種時代感和重量感,讓人忍不住想一探究竟。我猜想,這絕不是一本輕鬆閱讀的休閒讀物,它更像是一份厚重的學術迴顧錄,或許還帶點某個領域發展軌跡的編年史性質。光是「三十年」這個時間跨度,就足以涵蓋數次重大的學術範式轉移與技術革新。對於長期關注這個領域的同仁來說,這本書可能像是一份珍貴的「田野筆記」,記錄瞭那些關鍵的轉捩點、那些曾經被視為異端的假說如何一步步成為主流,以及那些奠基性的研究是如何從零到有地建立起如今的知識體係。我特別好奇,書中是如何處理那些「失敗的嘗試」或「被遺忘的路線」的?因為真正的轉型往往不是一條直線,而是充滿瞭岔路與死鬍同。如果這本書能誠實地呈現這些麯摺,而不是隻聚焦於最終的成功案例,那它的價值就會更高。它不單是知識的總結,更是方法論演進的鏡像,對於後進者而言,簡直就是一份避免重蹈覆轍的無價指南。我期待看到它如何平衡宏觀的趨勢分析與微觀的個案研究,讓讀者能從中體會到「研究」這件事的真實麵貌。

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這本專著的「3.0」標誌,給我一種強烈的預感:它絕對涵蓋瞭對過去版本(1.0、2.0)的深刻反思與揚棄。真正的「轉型」,往往意味著徹底的拋棄舊有假設,建立全新的公理體係。我猜想,書中最精采的部分,會是揭示「為什麼舊的CLA模式走不下去瞭?」這背後一定隱藏著某種重大的、無法迴避的外部變數——也許是計算能力的爆炸性增長,也許是社會結構的根本性變化,迫使研究範式必須升級。這本書或許會用大量的篇幅,對比新舊模型的差異,從根本上解構既有的研究語言。這對讀者來說,既是一種挑戰,也是一種解放。挑戰在於,必須拋棄習慣性的思維定勢;解放則在於,掌握瞭最新的「元語言」,得以進入更高維度的對話空間。我希望作者的筆觸能夠足夠銳利,敢於直指過去研究的盲點,而不是流於歌功頌德的錶麵讚美。這樣的自我批判精神,纔是真正推動學術進步的動力所在,也是一本「三十年集大成」之作應有的風骨。

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從颱灣這邊的角度來看,我們與國際前沿學術的接軌速度一直非常快,但同時也麵臨著如何將這些複雜的「轉型性研究」成果,本土化並應用於我們自身的社會與產業結構的挑戰。因此,我非常好奇這本《CLA 3.0》是否對「全球化」與「在地化」之間的拉扯有所著墨。例如,某項在西方成熟的研究方法,當它傳到東亞語境下,在實際操作層麵上會遭遇哪些獨特的障礙?書中是否提供瞭案例,說明「CLA 3.0」在不同文化或製度背景下的調適與優化?如果作者僅僅是羅列瞭歐美的研究成果,那對我們來說,可能就隻是一份遙遠的觀摩報告。但如果它能提供一套「翻譯」或「轉譯」的機製,教導我們如何消化這些國際級的轉型能量,並將之轉化為推動颱灣自身發展的動力,那這本書的實用價值就會直線飆升。畢竟,閱讀學術專著,最終還是為瞭指導實踐。我希望它不隻是一份歷史總結,更是一份行動指南。

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哇,三十年的變革史,這概念本身就讓人肅然起敬。我腦中浮現的畫麵是,這本書可能採取瞭一種「口述歷史」與「文獻分析」相結閤的敘事手法。想像一下,那些奠基時代的學者們,當初麵對著一片荒蕪的學術疆域,是如何一步步開疆拓土、建立起最初的「CLA」概念。書中或許會穿插著一些當年訪談的片段,描寫他們在實驗室或辦公室裡,麵對瓶頸時的掙紮與最終的突破瞬間。這比起純粹的理論陳述,要生動感人得多。而且,「轉型性研究」(Transformative Research)這個詞彙,暗示著這本書所探討的成果,不僅僅是知識的纍積,更是對既有認知結構的顛覆。這種顛覆性的力量,通常伴隨著巨大的阻力與爭議。我期待看到作者如何細膩地描繪齣這種學術上的「內戰」——那些舊勢力如何抵抗新觀念的湧入,以及最終,新思維是如何憑藉其強大的解釋力與預測能力站穩腳跟的。這樣的敘事,能讓這本書超越教科書的範疇,成為一部關於學術勇氣與智慧的史詩。

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